Okay, now this is just silly.
I'm in five heads up contests tonight. Five different opponents. There are five NBA games on the schedule.
First one - we have the same roster, except I have Mo Williams, opponent Jameer Nelson.
Second one - exact same thing - Williams vs Nelson, everyone else the same
Third one - again, 8 guys the same, this time it's Williams vs Chauncey Billups
Fourth one - Williams and O.J. Mayo vs Nelson and J.R. Smith. Otherwise ... the same
Fifth - well, at least there are three players different in this one: Felton, Brewer and Kobe vs Billups, Smith and Kevin Martin.
So much for multiple opponents reducing variance. Maybe I should switch to hockey.
I'm in five heads up contests tonight. Five different opponents. There are five NBA games on the schedule.
First one - we have the same roster, except I have Mo Williams, opponent Jameer Nelson.
Second one - exact same thing - Williams vs Nelson, everyone else the same
Third one - again, 8 guys the same, this time it's Williams vs Chauncey Billups
Fourth one - Williams and O.J. Mayo vs Nelson and J.R. Smith. Otherwise ... the same
Fifth - well, at least there are three players different in this one: Felton, Brewer and Kobe vs Billups, Smith and Kevin Martin.
So much for multiple opponents reducing variance. Maybe I should switch to hockey.

1 comments:
Varying opponents DID reduce variance. Otherwise, you might have multiple 1 player contests.
As the season progresses, identical rosters are more likely. Same thing happened in football this season.
Imagine what it was like last year with only 7 players on the hoops roster.
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